By Calvin Palmer
Stocks tumbled on Wall Street this morning as investors worried about how about how banks, automakers and entire countries would fare in a deepening recession.
At 11:00 a.m., the Dow Jones industrial average was down more than 240 points, coming within range of its lowest levels in more than a decade. The Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index slid more than 3.5 percent, dropping below 800.
Wall Street is worried that General Motors Corp. and Chrysler LLC might not be able to prove by today’s deadline that they can repay billions of dollars in loans and return to profitability.
General Motors has already received $9.4 billion from the government, and could get another $4 billion if the Treasury Department signs off on its viability plan. Chrysler has borrowed $4 billion, and is seeking another $3 billion.
Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at Standard & Poor’s, said Wall Street is nervous GM will say it cannot survive without additional funds — an admission that would then lead investors to ask, “What if GM does go under?”
The failure of a company with the name recognition of GM would “impact the psyche of the average consumer,” Stovall said.
The market also got some more grim economic news on Tuesday. The New York Federal Reserve’s regional manufacturing index showed a much deeper contraction in activity than expected. It fell to a new low of minus 34.7 in February, from minus 22.2 in January.
President Barack Obama is set to sign the $787 billion stimulus package into law today. He will also be outlining a plan to help stem mortgage foreclosures Wednesday. Wall Street had eagerly awaited the government’s plans to help the economy, but now that the programs have become reality, it is realizing the effects will not be immediate.
Investors are looking at the stimulus package “as something that will be helpful, but not a silver bullet,” Stovall said. “People are realizing the recession will take time.”
Investors are still nervous about the Treasury Department’s plans to shore up the financial system and help remove billions of dollars in troubled mortgage-related assets from the balance sheets of major banks.
“The administration is great at floating the rumors, but we need concrete plans to back that up,” said Ryan Larson, head equity trader at Voyageur Asset Management. “Without any further concreted details, the market’s really left to wonder. And in this environment, they wonder the worst-case scenario.”
In Europe, attention turned to the plight of lenders active in Eastern Europe after Moody’s Investors Service said it might downgrade banks with units in the region. Investors are worried about the debts owed by banks in Eastern Europe to financial institutions in western European countries, especially Austria, Belgium, Germany, Greece and Italy.
“The effects of the slowdown are continuing to widen geographically, especially to countries that have been reliant on demand in the West,” said Henk Potts, equity strategist at Barclays Wealth in London.
Amid fears about exposure to Eastern Europe, Erste, a bank based in Vienna, lost 7.7 percent. Swedbank, based in Stockholm, fell 3.6 percent, while UniCredit, the Italian bank, lost 5 percent.
The International Monetary Fund has offered loans to Hungary, Latvia, Serbia and Ukraine but there is speculation that it will have to go back into the region and offer more.
“Market sentiment still remains very poor, corporate profits are under pressure and management is expressing a cautious view through 2009,” Potts said.
Investors also fear that more banks across Europe will require capital injections from governments.
The FTSE 100 index in London was down more than 2.3 percent while the DAX in Frankfurt slid nearly 3.2 percent.
[Based on reports by The New York Times and Associated Press.]